Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1.282025 1.540752 1.857467 2.280262 2.840161 3.571523 4.625862
2025-01-05 0.922737 1.221841 1.641242 2.297588 3.350632 5.079784 8.403752
2025-01-12 0.713088 1.004280 1.450644 2.231299 3.678680 6.550837 13.788491
2025-01-19 0.587693 0.865932 1.321899 2.192015 4.011549 8.293719 22.512036
2025-01-26 0.530205 0.815825 1.315491 2.357552 4.837817 11.959905 46.251729
2025-02-02 0.479930 0.764771 1.290580 2.473554 5.637592 16.683694 98.964589
2025-02-09 0.428168 0.700102 1.222645 2.468985 6.131371 21.296952 200.989143
2025-02-16 0.380922 0.635213 1.139219 2.398084 6.393866 25.618218 401.920461
2025-02-23 0.351706 0.599502 1.108083 2.447776 7.111242 34.335335 1288.588723
2025-03-02 0.330550 0.575966 1.097805 2.550496 8.138859 49.178981 9832.386255
2025-03-09 0.306873 0.543769 1.061439 2.566746 8.852842 65.639691 535782.669088
2025-03-16 0.280145 0.501798 0.994803 2.470127 8.983729 77.467848 NaN
2025-03-23 0.266280 0.485754 0.988852 2.571215 10.291144 119.806219 NaN
2025-03-30 0.250066 0.462697 0.961769 2.595238 11.255436 174.126374 NaN
2025-04-06 0.231419 0.432145 0.910583 2.518275 11.538571 221.460293 NaN
2025-04-13 0.216158 0.407515 0.871008 2.472396 12.026279 298.718590 NaN
2025-04-20 0.211269 0.405738 0.891810 2.666908 14.696918 692.174192 NaN
2025-04-27 0.204452 0.398650 0.896842 2.803632 17.282947 1715.259084 NaN
2025-05-04 0.193882 0.381539 0.870671 2.798243 18.554374 3433.181525 NaN
2025-05-11 0.182110 0.360441 0.829930 2.714652 18.877229 5739.082518 NaN
2025-05-18 0.175166 0.350390 0.820298 2.773225 21.144290 23702.225381 NaN
2025-05-25 0.170222 0.344731 0.822979 2.894508 24.766596 919114.329056 NaN
2025-06-01 0.163258 0.333361 0.806361 2.913719 27.067098 NaN NaN